Countdown to Chapman

Nice piece from Redreporter.com’s Slyde from earlier about Aaron Harang. But I’m afraid that a guy who has been lousy for two seasons (not just one as Seg suggested on Extra Innings) now since his impressive 2007 campaign when he finished fourth in NL Cy Young voting (not second as Seg suggested) could ill afford to give up eight earned runs on 10 hits in four innings Thursday night against the Marlins. (I’ll still take Seg over Scott Sloan though … sorry.)

Harang is 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA, and I’m sure Dusty and the Reds will be quick to point out that he’s only made three starts this young season. But the bottom line is this: Harang has 1 win in his past 19 starts. And he’s now 12-33 dating back to the start of the 2008 season.

He’s starting to get blasted pretty hard on sportstalk. I just wonder how long the Reds will keep running him out there. Right now Harang and Aroldis are starting one day apart; Aroldis goes for the Louisville Bats Friday night. I’ll bet Harang gets two more chances to right the ship – at home against the Dodgers next week and then in Houston the following week. Because even if Harang gets shelled by L.A., the Reds would be crazy to have Aroldis make his debut on the road. I’d guess Owings would start in his place. But if Harang gets beat by the Dodgers AND Astros and all goes well with Aroldis’ next two starts with the Bats, I could see Chapman facing the Mets when the Reds return home May 3 (or maybe May 4). Wonder how many would visit GABP on that Monday or Tuesday night. (A few thousand more than would show up for another Harang start is the answer we were looking for.)

What do they do with Harang then if they can’t trade him? Duh – put him on the DL.

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